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One that's been popping around by head for a month or so.

Back during the Manhattan Project, prior to the detonation of the first atomic bomb test, one of the scientists (maybe Oppenheimer) bet with a colleague that the a-bomb test was going to ignite the atmosphere, thus wiping out all life on earth.

Why do I vaguely see an alternate history story in which this actually happened?

The thing is, once all life on earth is wiped out (probably within seconds of the blast), the story ends. Unless some aliens happen upon the planet, shake their heads and say "tut, tut, those foolish humans," of course.

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